Chances of Winning Online Blackjack

On 07.10.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

While online blackjack is one of the easiest online casino games to learn to play, it offers players one of the easiest blackjack strategies: basic strategy. Thanks to basic strategy, players of online blackjack can bring the house edge down to around 0.5% from 2% to 5%. And that 0.5% is one of the best odds out there for those who play online casino games.

What does that 0.5% translate to in chances of winning a round of online blackjack? It means that blackjack players can expect to win around 54% of the rounds of online blackjack. This is an approximation. This does not mean that you will win exactly 54 rounds of blackjack out of every 100, but it does give you an idea of what sort of winning odds you have in online blackjack.

But notice that even with basic strategy, the house still has something of a house edge over the blackjack player. And that is why a player of online blackjack can only expect to win around 54% of the games they play, rather than an even 50 / 50 of games.

But considering that other online casino games carry odds of around 8% to 12% (online slots games) or 5.26% (American Roulette), that 0.5% that online blackjack with basic strategy is really not too bad at all. It certainly explains why online blackjack is one of the most popular online casino games out there.

And because the house edge can be dropped to around 0.5%, giving players that approximate 54% of wins, is a very good reason for using basic strategy when playing online blackjack.

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What a Dealer Hitting Soft 17 Means to You

On 06.04.10, In Blackjack Rules, Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

In the majority of online blackjack games that a player would encounter will have the dealer standing on all 17 hands, regardless of whether there is an Ace in the hand or not. However there are some online blackjack games and some blackjack variations in which the dealer is allowed to hit on a soft 17.

On the surface, a dealer hitting on a soft 17 does not sound like too bad of a house rule. In theory a dealer who has to hit on a soft 17 because the house rule makes me would be more likely to bust. But that is why it is a theory.

In reality the dealer is actually less likely to bust overall. The reason for this is that Ace. The Ace that is a friend to a blackjack player can also hurt when the dealer can hit on a soft 17. The dealer can reduce an Ace from 11 to 1 just as a blackjack player can. And because of that, the dealer has the chance to rebuild his hand to a stronger one.

For example, if the dealer has an Ace/6 he would have to hit. Let’s say that he hits and gets an 8. The Ace has to be reduced to 1, and he now has a hard 15, which he hits. If he receives anything less than a 7 he is still in the game. And there are more cards less than 7 than there are greater than.

It is because of the dealer’s increased chances of rebuilding his hand to be a stronger one that the house’s rule of a dealer hitting a soft 17 increases the house’s edge by 0.2%. That is a decent sized increase to the house’s edge. Which is why you should avoid any online blackjack games that allow the dealer to hit on a soft 17.

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Playing First and Busting

On 05.28.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

Like any casino game—does not matter if it is online or not—blackjack is constructed so that the house starts off with the edge. While the 3-2 payout helps to boost the player’s online blackjack odds, the game has two aspects that feed into the house’s edge more naturally than rules that favor the house.

Those two aspects are playing out your hand before the dealer and busting. And they can go hand in hand really.

Let’s look at an ordinary game of online blackjack. It is just you and the dealer. You are dealt your two cards and the dealer has an up card and a hole card. Once the cards are dealt you must play out your hand before the game can continue. There is no way around it.

I know, this seems so trivial. How can playing out your hand first impact your online blackjack odds?

Well, let’s say that you hit and hit again and wind up busting. At that point your wager, your money, belong to the house. And it does not matter whether or not the dealer busts. In fact, the dealer can bust when playing out its hand after you have already busted and your money will still be collected for the house.

And that is the disadvantage of playing out your hand first. And because you are playing first and could lose your money before the dealer plays out its hand, it is considered a disadvantage. Disadvantages are what lower the player’s blackjack odds, while advantages, such as doubling down, increase the player’s odds.

In a way you could consider playing first the trade-off to receiving 3-2 on a natural blackjack. But then that really is not that fair of a trade since you play first in every game while you do not receive a 3-2 payout in every game. And that is why playing first and busting feed into the house’s odds.

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The Ugly Side of Blackjack Variations

On 05.14.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

Blackjack variations can present some exciting playing options both for online blackjack and for blackjack played in brick-and-mortar casinos. These variations can range from full-on changes in the game, such as Pontoon (a UK version of blackjack) and Spanish 21, to additions to the game, such as Streak and Perfect Pairs.

While blackjack variations that have full-on changes are not too bad—they are usually culturally different in slight ways, the variations with additions are problems in disguise.

Additions will usually come in the form of side bets. Side bets add an extra thrill to the game because it is not only about winning the round of blackjack, it is now also about winning the extra bet.

Unfortunately, these side bets are bad for your bankroll.

Side bets in blackjack variations are another way for online casinos and brick and mortar casinos to squeeze some more money out of players.

Streak, for example, is a side bet in which players make a separate wager on how many rounds of blackjack they will win in a row. If they do win that many rounds in a row, they will collect on the side bet. If they lose a round before reaching the number they wagered on they will lose their wager. The streak side bet carries an edge of 9.7% up to 14.3% depending on how many rounds in a row you are wagering.

Another variation found mixed in with online blackjack and casino blackjack is Perfect Pairs. In this variation of blackjack, the game itself is played the same as a regular game but offers players a side bet. The side bet is based on whether the player will be dealt a pair in their first two cards.

This side bet is independent of the game itself, meaning that it does not matter if the dealer won or not. The side bet, the point of this variation, is on whether or not those first two cards will be a pair. If they are the player collects on the side wager, otherwise the casino merely collects it.

Because additive variations are meant to take more money from players it is best to avoid variations of blackjack when you encounter them online or in a casino.

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How to Play Online Blackjack

On 05.14.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By admin

The objective of online blackjack is to beat the dealer without your card total going over 21. Going over 21 is called busting and means that you lose that round. If your total stays below 21 you have a shot at beating the dealer. But the dealer must either have card total less than yours or bust himself.

The game begins with you placing your bet buy clicking on the appropriate betting options. Once you have placed your bet, click the “Deal” button. Two cards will come sliding onto the screen face up; these are your cards. Two more cards, one face up and one face down, will be dealt to the dealer. If the two cards you have total 21 by themselves you have been dealt a natural blackjack, and you win the maximum payout, usually 3:2. The only time a natural blackjack does not win is when the dealer also has a natural blackjack. In that case there is what is called a push, and your bet is returned to you.  Once your hand has been played and the dealer’s hand has been played the round is over. If you wish to play again, start over with making another bet.

There are some terms that you will want to be familiar with when learning how to play online blackjack:

Stand: Standing means that you do not want anymore cards dealt to you. All you have to do is click the “Stand” button, and your card total will stand against whatever the dealer winds up with.

Hit: To hit is to be dealt more cards in hopes of raising your card total, but you will want to be careful that you do not go over 21. To hit all that is necessary to click on the “Hit” button until you have a card total that you feel is high enough to beat the dealer.

Usually the next few options are available in most online blackjack games.

Split: If you are dealt two cards with the same face value each they are a pair. And if the option is available you can split them into two separate hands. If splitting is available a “Split” button appears and you can click it if you wish to split your pair; when splitting, another bet equivalent to your original bet will be made.  You will be allowed to play each hand out just like you would if you only had one hand.

Double Down: This means to double your original bet; should you win that round you would win a 3:2 payout based on the combined bet. But when doubling down, you only receive one more card and then you have to stand.

Insurance: This option is only available if the dealer’s up card is an ace. Because an ace is necessary to have a blackjack, the online casino will offer you insurance. The purpose of insurance is that you will not lose your bet if the dealer does have blackjack.

An advantage to knowing how to play blackjack online is that you alone are playing against the dealer so there are no distractions on the casino’s side of the game. And you have as long as you would like to play out your hand. You can also have a basic strategy chart pulled up in another window that you can use to play with.

 
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Why Basic Strategy Makes Insurance Not Necessary

On 02.03.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

Basic Strategy was created and then tested to give players the best play possible for the hand that they are dealt against the dealer’s up card. And while this does not mean that you will win every time you play according to basic strategy, you will tend to win more in blackjack.

This is because basic strategy has taken into consideration the cards that dealers are more likely to bust on and which ones they are less likely to. This explains why you stand on stiff hands when faced with anything below a dealer’s 6. Those cards, 2 through 6, are the ones the dealer is more likely to bust on. This does not mean that they will but the chances are higher with a 6 than with a 10.

By playing blackjack according to basic strategy you can lower the house edge to about 0.05%. This happens over time. And some blackjack players feel that once they are winning more that they need to protect their strong hands against a dealer’s Ace.

Not only is the Ace the least likely card a dealer will bust on, it is necessary for having a natural blackjack. A dealer will offer you insurance.

As a basic strategy player you should decline.

Insurance is essentially a side beat that casinos have in blackjack that can help to not only increase their profit, but to also raise their edge. This is because the chance of winning versus the chance of losing creates, on average, an edge increase of 7%. And it is in the house’s favor.

Taking insurance has the potential to undo the work you have done to lower the house’s edge in blackjack to 0.05%. That impact has the potential to lower the house edge to below what the average blackjack game’s house edge is to begin with.

Most blackjack games will have an average of 2-5%. If you play basic strategy and lower the house edge to 0.05%, taking insurance will bounce the edge back to the house around 6.5%, which is likely to be worse than where you started.

When you are playing basic strategy never take insurance. If you watch you will see that serious players will not take it. And if they are not then neither should you.

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How to Play a Soft 17

On 01.27.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

Being dealt a soft 17 can be a rather tricky hand to play with.

A good many players will play this hand as if it were a hard 17. And while a 17 has the potential to be a relatively strong blackjack hand, playing a soft hand like its hard counterpart is not always the most advantageous why to play it.

The Ace that makes a soft hand what it is creates a whole other way to play. This is why basic strategy has a different way to play soft hands.

But the first thing that you need to know is that a soft 17 is not the same as a hard 17. It gives you flexibility.

Let’s say that you have been dealt a soft 17. And we are going to assume, like a serious blackjack player should, that the dealer’s hole card is a 10—that is the worst case scenario. If the dealer’s up card is an 8, 9, 10 or Ace, you would normally be stuck if you had a hard 17. But a soft 17 allows you to switch to a more defensive strategy.

With the Ace’s ability to serve as a 1 or an 11, you can reduce a soft 17 to a hard 7 and hit. This is giving you another chance to build a stronger hand. You might be able to hit to a hard 18 or more, and give yourself a bit of a better leg to stand on. At any rate, it is better than simply playing a soft 17 like a hard 17.

In fact, hitting is what basic strategy advises. It also advises to take further advantage of a soft 17 by doubling down against a dealer’s up card of 3, 4, 5 or 6. That is when the dealer has the greatest chance of busting, and your strategy should put you in place to take advantage of it.

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The Next Best Hands to Blackjack and How to Play Them

On 01.20.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

While we would all like to be dealt a natural blackjack every time we play, we know that it does not happen every time. Or even half of the time. But there are two other strong hands to hope for. Unfortunately, many novice players tend to misplay these hands due to the nature of their make-up.

After a natural blackjack, being dealt a hand that totals 20 is the strongest hand to have. The only hands that a dealer can have to beat you is a natural blackjack or to hit to 21. But in order for these two hands to be worth their total they must be played correctly.

Ace-9
This is the first hand that we will look at. Because of the Ace this does count as a soft hand even though its total is 20. And that is where most novice players make their mistake. Many will reduce the Ace from 11 down to 1 and play this hand as a hard 10, often doubling down. While doubling down seems to be the most advantageous play to make it is not.

What most novice players are missing is the most basic aspect of this hand: that the total is 20. Forget the soft or hard part and focus on the hand total, and play this as a hard 20. The chances of reducing to 10 and hitting to a total that is as strong as your original 20 or 21 are slim. It is better to just play an Ace-9 as a 20.

10-10
Like an Ace-9, this hand is often misplayed due to novice players thinking that there is a more advantageous play to make. In this case, novice players see that this is a pair, and think that the most advantageous play is to split them.

This is similar to reducing the Ace and doubling down with an Ace-9; the chances of building, not one, but two hands to equal the original 20 or better is slim. It is better to play this hand as a hard 20 for the same reasons that you want to play an Ace-9 as a hard 20.

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What to Do When Dealt a Hard 12

On 01.13.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

Unfortunately the average blackjack player will be dealt a stiff hand around 43% of the time while playing. Stiff hands include hard 12 through hard 16. The reason it feels like we are dealt these hands more often is that they occur more often. There are more hard hands in blackjack than there are strong hands or low hands.

The best that you can do with a stiff hand is to play according to basic strategy. But if you are lucky enough to be playing in a game that allows for early or even late surrender, you can go with those plays and minimize your losses.

The frustrating aspect of hard hands is that it is difficult to make a winning hand with them and not bust while trying. But of the hard hands, hard 12 is the one that offers you the most opportunity.

According to basic strategy, it is best to hit a hard 12 against seven of the possible dealer up cards, whereas the other hard hands are only hitting on five of the dealer up cards.

With a hard 12 basic strategy recommends hitting against not only 7 and higher, but also hitting against a dealer’s up card of 2 or 3.

When hitting a hard 12 against a 2 or a 3, you have a 37% chance of winning the round. If you stand against a 2 or a 3 like you would with the other stiff hands, you only have a 35% chance at winning.

Blackjack strategy is about increasing our chances of winning and minimizing our losses. And while we have a greater chance of losing with a stiff hand, we have to do the best we can to keep our losses down. If there is a way to increase our chances of winning, we are likewise reducing our chances of losing.

In the case of a hard 12 against a 2 or 3, the best play to make to increase our chances is to hit. While we are only increasing our chances by 2%, it is 2% more than if we did nothing and stand.

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Know Which Hands to Double Down On

On 01.06.10, In Blackjack Strategy, Online Blackjack, By Vivi

In blackjack there come points in time during the game when the player can go on the offensive—when their hand is stronger than the dealer’s. But how do you know when to go on the offensive? When you are dealt a starting total of 9, 10 or 11 is when you take your blackjack strategy to the offensive side.

The best play to make when you find your starting hand total to be one of those three is to double down. Doubling down sends a message to the dealer that you are confident and that your hand is strong—that you have a better chance of out-drawing the dealer and that you are going to do so with one card.

Granted, we not always win when we double down, but it is a fun play to make.

Doubling down is when you double your original bet and only receive one more card. Many players are a bit intimidated by only receiving one more card, but when you consider that you are already starting with a 10 or 11, you already have half of what you need to total 21. And if you are starting with 9 you are already halfway to having 20—another strong hand.

And by having the potential of creating a strong hand and winning with that hand, you have the chance of doubling your winnings since your bet was doubled.

Having a starting total of 11 is the strongest of the three. It offers you the most opportunities to double down. If you have a starting total of 11 and the dealer’s up card is a 2 through 10, double down. The only time you do not double down is when the dealer’s up card is an Ace.

In regards to having a starting total of 10, you will want to double down when the dealer’s up card is a 2 through 9.

And when you have a starting total of 9, you need to double down when the dealer’s up card is a 3 through 6.

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